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One of the most widely embraced trends in the NFL is the idea of betting on a team that is coming off of a bye week, one of the most popular systems that has come in to play in recent years. The reasons for the trend catching on were simple, and it was all about the numbers. In 2007 61-percent of the teams that were coming off their bye week won throughout that season. In 2008, teams that were coming off of their bye week went 20-12, and remember that these numbers include the rare situations where two teams coming off of a bye would play eachother. As the years passed by, the results varied but the fact remained that while bad teams were bad teams regardless of when they played, good teams made a habit out of winning coming out of the bye week.
Most sports betting trends rely on specific analysis revolving around the two teams that are playing against eachother, but in this case it was all about when a team had its bye week. The pay head bookies began to recognize this in their point spreads for their games and will always take it in to account, but that makes it that much more important. When the NFL season gets underway, attempt to separate the contenders from the pretenders throughout the first four weeks, and once teams start to come off their bye weeks, stick with the stronger teams, and it could lead to some big payouts. |
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The online betting year has already reached one of its biggest points with the kickoff of Super Bowl XLVI. People from all over the world will be placing their bets in Las Vegas on either the New England Patriots or New York Giants. The media has been hammering the point that these two teams met in Super Bowl XLII back in 2008 for the 2007 season. Aside from quarterbacks Eli Manning and Tom Brady, these two teams are nothing like they were four years ago. The Giants took the same road to Super Bowl XLVI that the Green Bay Packers took to Super Bowl XLV. The Giants had to win its last game of the season to get into the playoffs, and then the Giants followed the wild card route to the big game. The one difference between the Giants and the Packers is that the Giants entered the playoffs as a division champ and the Packers were the number eight NFC seed last year.
We have waited long enough to see what developments will occur that could force us to change our minds about the big game. Now is the time to analyze this contest and see exactly who has the better chance at taking it all for the 2011 NFL season.
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To say that the online betting community is more than a little surprised at the match-ups we will see in the AFC and NFC Championship games would be a slight understatement. We have come this far without the Pittsburgh Steelers, Green Bay Packers and the New Orleans Saints still being involved in the proceedings. The departure of the defending Super Bowl champion Green Bay Packers was the most shocking. The Packers gave its divisional game to the New York Giants in a game that should have been dominated by the Packers' offense.
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The NFL betting lines preseason will come to an end this week with a full slate of games scheduled for Thursday, allowing teams one final game environment to ensure that they are prepared for their regular season opener. While some teams have struggled out of the gate so far, there are others that have already looked like they are in midseason form. Here is a quick look at two key games this week and what they mean to the teams in them.
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The Pittsburgh Steelers bounced back in a major way in week five, beating the Tennessee Titans 38-17 in a statement game without linebacker James Harrison and with Ben Roethlisberger dealing with a ton of nagging injuries. Roethlisberger threw for five touchdowns in a game in which the Steelers dominated from the outset, and with a 21-3 lead before the half, it was clear that Pittsburgh was playing with the intention of sending a sports betting message.
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